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Post by van coke on Wed Oct 19, 2016 7:08 pm

And tryasta hasnt updated his blog :p

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Post by ivelostmysparky on Wed Oct 19, 2016 9:12 pm

Rambo hasn't been active since R8. Though he logged in R13 to keep his team alive.

More people need to comment on the WC threads! Get busy people!
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Post by tryasta on Fri Oct 21, 2016 7:47 pm

Dedicated to Ray Comfort. With love. Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy


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Post by tryasta on Sat Oct 29, 2016 7:22 pm

Shocking news

Gordon Tietjens

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Post by Bren on Sat Oct 29, 2016 7:46 pm

I'm not surprised NZ rugby is being a dick. I am surprised that we still don't have a new sevens coach and Dubai is like a month away. Seriously, when do we need to pick a team?

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Post by tryasta on Sat Oct 29, 2016 7:54 pm

Watching Canterbury vs Tasman.

Canty have the early lead 12-3

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Post by ivelostmysparky on Sat Oct 29, 2016 9:40 pm

Another title in the bag for Canterbury. Mo'unga isn't bad for the 5th best first five in NZ. Only 22 too.
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Post by tryasta on Sat Oct 29, 2016 10:09 pm

Damned Cantabrians... they have this habit of winning time and again Razz

BTW: India and NZ are playing the fifth (and last) ODI right now. It's India opening and they are 71-1 after 15 overs.

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Post by gimping on Sat Oct 29, 2016 10:45 pm

Cricket not looking good. Big score coming unfortunately

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Post by tryasta on Sat Oct 29, 2016 10:50 pm

second wicket Smile

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Post by ivelostmysparky on Sun Oct 30, 2016 3:36 am

ffs rolled for 79.
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Post by tryasta on Sun Oct 30, 2016 3:52 am

mccullum was eliminated after 4 balls I believe Crying or Very sad

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Post by ivelostmysparky on Sun Oct 30, 2016 5:40 am

The Kiwis won the league against England Very Happy
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Post by tryasta on Sun Oct 30, 2016 5:49 am

I saw the first half and I was yawning so much I focused on the BR league finals.

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Post by Bren on Thu Nov 24, 2016 1:14 pm

Interesting article in the Economist.
http://www.economist.com/blogs/gametheory/2016/11/kiwi-kings

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Post by tryasta on Thu Nov 24, 2016 7:08 pm

LOL. The version I had read in NZ Herald was missing certain parts, namely, the one saying the All Blacks are masters of the dark arts Smile

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Post by donkeysaint on Mon Nov 28, 2016 2:10 am

@Bren wrote:Interesting article in the Economist.
http://www.economist.com/blogs/gametheory/2016/11/kiwi-kings

Interesting read, thanks for the link!

The part about using exchange of rating points to measure team quality, reminds me of your CSR/ranking points calculations in BR. Very Happy

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Post by tryasta on Tue Nov 29, 2016 9:53 am

unknown wrote:England v Australia. it's like watching the grand national and cheering for the hedge

Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy

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Post by tryasta on Fri Dec 02, 2016 10:32 pm

Hi all.

I have been doing a bit of programming on my side... BR-related. I have done some stats from the games played by several teams. I could use some ideas on what to check if you have any. I provide an example of what I have obtained:

Sparker
Games analyzed: 193: 149 wins, 44 losses
Winning pctg at home: 86%
Winning pctg away: 66%
Winning pctg against higher CSR: 42%
Winning pctg against lower CSR: 87%

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Jolly Roger Crew
Games analyzed: 300: 281 wins, 18 losses
Winning pctg at home: 90%
Winning pctg away: 68%
Winning pctg against higher CSR: 56%
Winning pctg against lower CSR: 96%

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Okaiawa
Games analyzed: 270: 179 wins, 90 losses
Winning pctg at home: 71%
Winning pctg away: 61%
Winning pctg against higher CSR: 30%
Winning pctg against lower CSR: 85%

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Melville
Games analyzed: 286: 227 wins, 57 losses
Winning pctg at home: 90%
Winning pctg away: 68%
Winning pctg against higher CSR: 64%
Winning pctg against lower CSR: 94%

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I can obtain every stat that is shown in the reporter's summary... but I am not sure what stats could be interesting.

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Post by donkeysaint on Sat Dec 03, 2016 2:08 am

I wonder what the Auckland Katipos percentage would be.. Smile

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Post by tryasta on Sat Dec 03, 2016 9:24 am

Auckland Katipos

Games analyzed: 300: 185 wins, 112 losses
Winning pctg at home: 71%
Winning pctg away: 51%
Winning pctg against higher CSR: 45%
Winning pctg against lower CSR: 88%

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Post by Bren on Sat Dec 03, 2016 11:11 am

Very interesting!

Jolly Roger Crew's graph is interesting though I imagine there are very few games on the right hand side causing that.

Melville's is also interesting though not terribly surprising considering the average age that Chewy likes to put out there.

Would be interested to see Direwolf Straits (20581).

Could be interesting if you could sum up those numbers into a single metric, can't quite think how though.

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Post by donkeysaint on Sat Dec 03, 2016 11:33 am

Thanks tryasta!

So Chewy's success with relative CSR is partly because of player age and experience? Sounds reasonable. Still, very impressive consistency.

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Post by Bren on Sat Dec 03, 2016 11:41 am

This did give me an idea of my own.

How good a predictor are the stars? So, if you have an star advantage in Attack how often do you ending up winning the game? Here are the results based on the Pizza Shield last season.

Maul - 86.3%
Creative - 85.6%
Pick and Go - 84.6%
Expansive - 83.4%
Driving - 82.1%
Handling - 80.4%
Defense - 79.9%
Scrum - 79.0%
Stamina - 78.7%
Lineout - 77.1%
Attack - 73.5%
Ruck - 73.3%
Kicking - 65.0%

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Post by Bren on Sat Dec 03, 2016 11:46 am

@donkeysaint wrote:Thanks tryasta!

So Chewy's success with relative CSR is partly because of player age and experience? Sounds reasonable. Still, very impressive consistency.

Experience isn't included in the CSR calculations (wish it was) so if he's got a few points better average experience then he'll be able to easily beat someone with identical CSR.

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