CSR Predictor

Hello all,

I have finally taken the step to publish it. This is a CSR predictor util. I have developed it with the sights on predicting the CSR of a player who is about to promote from the YA.

You can download it from here.

How it works?

1.- download the file
2.- edit the file
3.- enter the skill values to get the estimated CSR and CSR ranges (min and max)

Don't forget to comment here for improvements, remarks or whatever.

Some data for players in the Youth Academy:

Iestin John
Jonathon Haase
Nathaniel "Spirit Of Man" Ferand
Don Gaunt

Week 11:
Iestin John: TSP=103, CSR=73000 ( 12,12,11,High,High,13,10,Medium,9,4 )
Jonathon Haase: TSP=100, CSR=73500 ( 10,11,13,14,11,8,3,13,9,8 )
Nathaniel Ferrand: TSP=97, CSR=65800 ( 12,?,13,13,8,9,6,13,8,5 )
Don Gaunt: TSP=98, CSR=69600 ( 11,11,12,13,High,12,6,12,Medium,2 )
(estimated CSRs based on the CSR Predictor)

Week 12:
Iestin John: TSP=104, CSR=76554 ( 12,13,11,High,High,13,10,Medium,9,4 )
Jonathon Haase: TSP=101, CSR=76290 ( 10,11,13,14,12,8,3,13,9,8 )
Nathaniel Ferrand: TSP=97, CSR=65800 ( 12,?,13,13,8,9,6,13,8,5 )
Don Gaunt: TSP=99, CSR=72300 ( 11,12,12,13,High,12,6,12,Medium,2 )
(estimated CSRs based on the CSR Predictor)

Week 13:
Iestin John: TSP=105, CSR=80014(13,13,11,12,High,13,10,Medium,9,4 )
Jonathon Haase: TSP=102, CSR=78464( 11,11,13,14,12,8,3,13,9,8 )
Nathaniel Ferrand: TSP=97, CSR=65800 ( 12,?,13,13,8,9,6,13,8,5 )
Don Gaunt: TSP=99, CSR=72300 ( 11,12,12,13,High,12,6,12,Medium,2 )
(estimated CSRs based on the CSR Predictor)

Week 15:
Iestin John: TSP=109, CSR=88054(13,13,11,12,13,13,10,10,10,4 )
Jonathon Haase: TSP=103, CSR=80132( 11,11,13,14,12,8,3,13,10,8 )
Nathaniel Ferrand: TSP=99, CSR=70458 ( 12,?,13,13,9,9,6,13,9,5 )
Don Gaunt: TSP=100, CSR=75112 ( 12,12,12,13,High,12,6,12,8,2 )
(estimated CSRs based on the CSR Predictor)



average increase TSP = 0.81 / week (theoretical = 0.80 / week)
average estimated increase CSR = 1991 / week

Seems to work. It predicted 117k CSR and he was 116k

Thanks for the test!!!!

Actually, I would rather expect an accuracy around +/-5K CSR but I'll take the 1000 CSR difference gladly

Predicted: 91k
Actual: 90k
On the money again

I created a new formula, a better one, I believe.

I blogged about it here

I like the old one still.
Predicted: 86k
Actual: 83k

Well, in any case, the predictions seem to be not too far off the mark