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Season 29 Discussion

+14
chewy
van coke
Tinie
Elsteveo
simon71
Brentton
Pantherus
tryasta
gimping
robelix
Activist
Sambo10
SlyStallone
Kruizey
18 posters

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Season 29 Discussion - Page 9 Empty Re: Season 29 Discussion

Post by gimping Thu Aug 11, 2016 7:28 am

@Tinie welcome to NZ!

I have never doubted your passion for the PI community or the amount of effort and time you have contributed to the nation. What I don't and didn't appreciate was the lack of communication more than anything. Currently I am continuing to train what are realistically piss poor players due to not wanting to contribute when you dominate a nation and attempt to control it's people's actions.

Regarding Kisi Bavadra you were not keen to have him due to low csr gains until lvl 4 arrives in 5 weeks?

Regardless I apologize for bringing this to the club rooms in a negative manner however it was affecting our ability to produce a quality side. I'm sure you have investigated our squad and the players in it
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Post by Bren Thu Aug 11, 2016 8:02 am

Tinie should be able to post links now. Must be an anti spam measure.
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Season 29 Discussion - Page 9 Empty Re: Season 29 Discussion

Post by Tinie Thu Aug 11, 2016 8:57 am

gimping wrote:@Tinie welcome to NZ!

I have never doubted your passion for the PI community or the amount of effort and time you have contributed to the nation. What I don't and didn't appreciate was the lack of communication more than anything. Currently I am continuing to train what are realistically piss poor players due to not wanting to contribute when you dominate a nation and attempt to control it's people's actions.

Regarding Kisi Bavadra you were not keen to have him due to low csr gains until lvl 4 arrives in 5 weeks?

Regardless I apologize for bringing this to the club rooms in a negative manner however it was affecting our ability to produce a quality side. I'm sure you have investigated our squad and the players in it

Peace mate cheers ,

I gues we both are just trying to look out for the interest of the nations we back. Let me tell you looking at 50 odd prospects and finding 10 kicking as your best KB is a tad dis-harting and highlights the concern I have with smaller nations struggling to meet the training demands. Considering NZ has 227 active managers and also struggling with u20 depth. You can see my concern for a much smaller nation.
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Season 29 Discussion - Page 9 Empty Re: Season 29 Discussion

Post by gimping Thu Aug 11, 2016 9:53 am

Can I feel an nz affiliate coming along?

I will flick you a message when level 4 facilities are available for Bavadra and we can see how we get on. No kicking training though
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Season 29 Discussion - Page 9 Empty Re: Season 29 Discussion

Post by Tinie Thu Aug 11, 2016 7:14 pm

gimping wrote:Can I feel an nz affiliate coming along?

I will flick you a message when level 4 facilities are available for Bavadra and we can see how we get on. No kicking training though

Have been thinking of moving 1 or 2 of my clubs around. So lets see, have heared some good raves about a certain local NZ comp hosted by Mr Bren.

Hosting comps are alot of time and effort. So hats off to him! (where are the beer emoji's?)
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Season 29 Discussion - Page 9 Empty Re: Season 29 Discussion

Post by Bren Thu Aug 11, 2016 8:28 pm

The NZI is a great comp but Pantherus is largely responsible for that.

We definitely need beer emojis.
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Season 29 Discussion - Page 9 Empty Re: Season 29 Discussion

Post by razorbladeYfronts Mon Aug 15, 2016 9:42 pm

Pantherus wrote:Enough of your dick-waving.  Take your argument elsewhere.
**************************
Back to BR.

Jeezus, alright then. Just 2 more posts and chewy was going to give us his candidacy manifesto for New Zealand First for the next election. Bugger. Ah well, turn the page. Cool

Anyway, I see Tinie my old buddy has joined all-of-a-sudden-like. Timing is everything in life as they say. Laughing


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Season 29 Discussion - Page 9 Empty Re: Season 29 Discussion

Post by Bren Wed Aug 17, 2016 11:19 am

Made some alterations to my cup prediction spreadsheet and ran a fresh prediction just in time for tonight's matches. Smile

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1PliGND8aj1kE8CVDqPlKwlMct71kKi-MTuzLUJHJkNg/edit?usp=sharing

Changed the way that probability is calculated and also changed the way that team strength is calculated to give a boost to teams with high first XV CSR's and low rankings (like Linkin Hawk 15).

The probabilities for Jolly Roger Crew is probably a bit low since the simulations don't take into account that being in division two means that the Jolly Roger Crew will have a bit more energy to spend in the cup as opposed to the division one teams.
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Season 29 Discussion - Page 9 Empty Re: Season 29 Discussion

Post by Pantherus Wed Aug 17, 2016 11:35 am

Love your work Smile
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Post by donkeysaint Wed Aug 17, 2016 6:31 pm

Thanks, Bren!

I have a fifty percents chance of winning my cup game tonight, according to your spreadsheet. The stars are out and I seem to have a clear advantage.

If I win, that would mean my second win in a row against Meadowbank Tigers, while I a week ago had lost 6 out of 7 games against them. Before this season they were too strong for me, this season it seems the table has started to turn. 

This is one aspect I love about this game. That slow sense of progression that tells you you are on the right track with team-building and tactics.  Very Happy

Fingers crossed!
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Season 29 Discussion - Page 9 Empty Re: Season 29 Discussion

Post by Bren Wed Aug 17, 2016 7:36 pm

Good luck! Definitely looks like a good advantage for you there.

Interesting, assuming you win. You were given a 50.33% chance to win this week, and a 11.92% chance to win next week. Just winning this game boosts your chances for next week to 11.92%/50.33% = 23.6%. Of course that probability only exists for a brief moment of time before you get assigned your next match when more information comes to hand.
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Season 29 Discussion - Page 9 Empty Re: Season 29 Discussion

Post by chewy Wed Aug 17, 2016 8:26 pm

Game to watch .....


https://www.blackoutrugby.com/game/tools.live.scoring.php#fixture=15680812
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Season 29 Discussion - Page 9 Empty Re: Season 29 Discussion

Post by donkeysaint Wed Aug 17, 2016 8:31 pm

Bren wrote:Good luck! Definitely looks like a good advantage for you there.

Interesting, assuming you win. You were given a 50.33% chance to win this week, and a 11.92% chance to win next week. Just winning this game boosts your chances for next week to 11.92%/50.33% = 23.6%. Of course that probability only exists for a brief moment of time before you get assigned your next match when more information comes to hand.
Interesting.. Smile

Anyway, I'm up 50-14, 7-2 in tries after the first half. I'm happy to take those 23.6% for R6..
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Post by donkeysaint Wed Aug 17, 2016 8:34 pm

chewy wrote:Game to watch .....


https://www.blackoutrugby.com/game/tools.live.scoring.php#fixture=15680812
Oh..

That game might need its own news article.
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Season 29 Discussion - Page 9 Empty Re: Season 29 Discussion

Post by Bren Wed Aug 17, 2016 8:40 pm

donkeysaint wrote:
chewy wrote:Game to watch .....


https://www.blackoutrugby.com/game/tools.live.scoring.php#fixture=15680812
Oh..

That game might need its own news article.

Suddenly I'm an Icemen fan.
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Season 29 Discussion - Page 9 Empty Re: Season 29 Discussion

Post by robelix Wed Aug 17, 2016 8:44 pm

c'mon Icemen!
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Season 29 Discussion - Page 9 Empty Re: Season 29 Discussion

Post by Activist Wed Aug 17, 2016 8:45 pm

29-27 to Icemen 30 mins to go... can they hold on? Don't think they will.

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Post by robelix Wed Aug 17, 2016 9:07 pm

its gotta be the most exciting game of the season!
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Season 29 Discussion - Page 9 Empty Re: Season 29 Discussion

Post by donkeysaint Wed Aug 17, 2016 9:08 pm

Iceman scores in the 73rd minute! 34-33, unconverted try.

Oh, oh..
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Season 29 Discussion - Page 9 Empty Re: Season 29 Discussion

Post by robelix Wed Aug 17, 2016 9:08 pm

if JRC lose....razor will finally get his #1 ranking....would be an odd way for that to happen...i hope i dont jinx the icemen....
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Post by Activist Wed Aug 17, 2016 9:12 pm

Icemen hit back with a drop goal of their own... cheers

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Season 29 Discussion - Page 9 Empty Re: Season 29 Discussion

Post by Bren Wed Aug 17, 2016 9:12 pm

Yes! Back in the lead. 3mins to go!
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Season 29 Discussion - Page 9 Empty Re: Season 29 Discussion

Post by robelix Wed Aug 17, 2016 9:14 pm

Icemen for President
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Season 29 Discussion - Page 9 Empty Re: Season 29 Discussion

Post by donkeysaint Wed Aug 17, 2016 9:16 pm

Possession turned back and forth, and now a penalty for the Icemen. 1.02 to go...


Last edited by donkeysaint on Wed Aug 17, 2016 9:20 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by Activist Wed Aug 17, 2016 9:17 pm

Surely be one of the greatest upsets?? Idea

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